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One brother in the liquor industry, Guizhou Moutai, is not far from the new low.
Recently, many people have expressed their questions about the market outlook of Moutai in Guizhou. There are some outrageous voice saying, "Isn't it mine?"
This sister's attitude is: Guizhou Maotai is attributed to value investment in A shares in our hearts Model, it is recommended that you hold your shares firmly and have been optimistic for a long time.
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is now in the current situation. The short -term falling factors are affected by the market style Essence It is also because the market speculation is growth. Even if the performance of the liquor market is relatively high, the growth rate is slow, and the center point of "growth" is erased.
The is good, good stocks, they will not lose money, they will only lose time. From the fundamental perspective, liquor is still a very good industry. Guizhou Maotai is still the super invincible existence in the A -share.
. In the short term, the liquor sales before and after traditional festivals (such as Dragon Boat Festival, Mid -Autumn Festival, and Spring Festival) are still prosperous. In the case of a period of time, under the pull of traditional festivals such as Dragon Boat Festival, Mid -Autumn Festival, or when consumer demand such as banquets, the overall driving sales continued the trend of good.
In this price, Guizhou Maotai has been steadily rising in high-end liquor in high-end liquor. Related data shows:
n The bulk batch price is 2750-2850 yuan 2750-2850 yuan. Compared with May, the price difference is reduced, and the bulk Moutai has risen significantly.
The newly added production capacity series of wine will be put into production in batches. It has become an important growth pole for Moutai, Guizhou. Performance in the second quarter.
. In the middle and long term, the high -end expansion continues to advance. It is not difficult to see that the profitability of Moutai in Guizhou is not bad. In the long run, as Chinese people have to maintain a rational awareness of drinking, and wealth growth has driven the improvement of dietary refinement. Since 2017, the sales of the liquor industry have fallen rapidly, and the industry has reached the period of "increased price increase". However, at the same time, the sales of low -end alcohol have declined, and the high -end alcohol market has shown a momentum of growth, which means that the industry has gradually tended to high -end enterprises.
It in terms of market size, the cumulative sales of high-end wine in 2017 were nearly 100 billion yuan. In 2019, the sales performance of high-end wine was almost 160 billion yuan. The compound growth rate of 2017-2019 was over 20%.
It's ton price of the liquor industry, from 47,000 yuan/ton in 2017 to 72,000 yuan/ton in 2019, with a compound growth rate of about 15%.
In follow the agency's prediction judgment. In 2018-2023, 8%is the compound growth rate of the number of high net worth groups. With the increase of the disposable income of residents and the increase in the number of high net worth groups, industry consumption The pace of upgrading trends did not stop.
. However, in recent years, the batch price and retail price of Moutai's liquor have gradually increased, and the company's profits have continued to grow.
A more control points and opinions on Moutai, Guizhou, I have also sorted out the industry research reports of other institutions, so you can understand it. Is there a chance?
. Summary
In the short term, liquor sales are not small because of the arrival of the Dragon Boat Festival. In the long run, it is not difficult to see that the high -end market is advancing. It is not difficult to see that the profitability of Moutai in Guizhou is not bad, and it is steady. Under the current background environment, it is estimated that the performance of the front -line liquor Moutai can also rise steadily.
From the perspective of the trend, there is already a downward trend, but it also belongs to the left trading area. I think of the possible trend. It is recommended that it takes the stock price to stand firmly. Better.
It's limited space, we can only talk about it. If we want to know the next market trend of Moutai in Guizhou, you can enter the stock code if you want to know more information, and you can check: [Free] Test the future trend of Moutai, Guizhou
The Answee time: 2021-11-08, the latest business changes are based on the data displayed in the link in the text, please click to view